Just a quickie to bring your attention to this, yesterday's close on the U.S. Government bond market as reported by Google Finance. Note the 10 year bond - less than 2%. Bond Maturity Yield (effective interest rate) change in points(percent) 3 Month 0.01% 0.00 (0.00%) 6 Month 0.04% +0.01 (33.33%) 2 Year 0.19% +0.01 (5.56%) … Continue reading US Government Bond Market & Interest Rate Watch – No Signs of Worry Over Deficits, Inflation, or Default
It's now Monday morning, Aug 8. It's been roughly 60 hours since S&P downgraded the rating on U.S. government bonds. In that 60 hours the media, particularly TV talking head channels, have been breathlessly awaiting what they felt was a certain market panic on Monday. Clearly interest rates would go up they said. They were … Continue reading The Market Shrugs Off Rating Downgrade, Market Is Worried About Real Economy.
The Sveriges Riksbank (a.k.a. Riksbanken), the Swedish central bank, tried an innovation in monetary policy two years ago in July 2009 when it set the official deposit rate at a negative interest rate of -.25%. The objective was to stimulate and motivate banks to lend their "excess" reserves to businesses and households and to therefore … Continue reading Innovation in Monetary Policy in Sweden Works: Negative Interest Rates
With unemployment hovering near 10% for nearly two years now, it should be obvious that the economy is no where near capacity. Yet, many on Wall Street and in the talking-head TV shows continue to maintain that government borrowing is "crowding out" private investment (or going to soon). Um, I don't think so. Crowding out … Continue reading Crowding Out Not Gonna Happen Soon
People who worry the most about the recent increases in US government borrowing are generally worried about one of two things: crowding out or inflation. They fear that either if The Fed doesn't "print new money" for the govt to borrow, then the government's demands for borrowing money will drive up interest rates. This driving … Continue reading There’s No Crowding Out Here.